What a Marketing or Creative Agency Is Worth in Melbourne

A Cremorne digital studio or a Southbank media shop: valued on the net revenue left once pass-through spend is stripped out, and on how much of it renews each month.

A Melbourne marketing or creative agency is valued by capitalising maintainable earnings, measured on net revenue rather than billings and after the founders are paid market salaries. The rate applied depends on how much revenue sits on retainer, how long clients have stayed, how concentrated the client list is, and whether those clients deal with the agency or with one founder.

When Melbourne agency owners ask for a valuation

Most requests arrive with a change of ownership in sight. The founder of a Collingwood branding studio wants to sell a stake to two senior staff. A Richmond performance agency has a term sheet from a national holding group. Two Fitzroy studios with complementary skills are looking at a merger and need a fair split. A property settlement in the Melbourne registry of the Federal Circuit and Family Court needs the agency valued at a set date. Or a move into a new company structure needs a market value the ATO will accept.

Offers from consolidators deserve particular care. They often pay only part of the price at completion and the rest as an earn-out tied to later results, so the founder keeps carrying much of the risk after the sale. Knowing what the agency is worth on its own numbers is what lets you judge whether that structure is really a sale or a deferred employment contract.

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Which approach leads for an agency

The Income Approach leads. An acquirer is buying client relationships that produce fees month after month, so the valuation capitalises what those relationships will sustainably earn after a team on market pay has been covered.

Capitalisation of future maintainable earnings is the standard method. Results are normalised for founder pay and any personal spending run through the business, then a capitalisation rate is built whose agency-specific loadings centre on three things: client concentration, the mix of retainer and project fees, and reliance on the founders.

A discounted cash flow fits an agency in the middle of a shift: integrating an acquired studio, moving clients from campaigns onto retainers, or facing the known end of a major contract inside the forecast. When losing one account would change the agency's direction, a year-by-year forecast shows it plainly, where one capitalised year hides it.

Market cross-check

Transactions involving agencies of similar size and discipline show whether the income result is in a sensible place. Multiples expressed against billings or gross income need care, because billings include media and production costs the agency passes straight to suppliers. Net revenue is the only base that compares like with like.

Asset cross-check

Little more than a floor. Debtors, unbilled work and equipment are restated, and an agency with a genuine retainer book will be worth far more than that total.

Adjustments that move an agency's value

Normalisation is where two valuers most often part ways, so every adjustment and its reason is set out in the body of the report. For agencies the recurring ones are:

Agencies across Melbourne

Melbourne's agency sector is concentrated in the inner city. Cremorne and Richmond hold many of the digital, performance and technology-led agencies, often alongside the software businesses they work for. Collingwood, Fitzroy and Brunswick carry design, branding and content studios, many of them founder-led and small. South Melbourne, Southbank and the CBD host the larger integrated and media agencies that work for national brands, government and the institutions based in the city.

Two features of this market show up in almost every Melbourne agency valuation. The talent pool is deep, which supports growth but means a senior account lead can move to a competitor a few streets away and take relationships along; restrictive covenants and staff tenure are reviewed for that reason. And client lists are often short: a studio with three substantial retainers can look very profitable, yet it carries a heavier risk loading than an agency earning the same profit from twenty smaller clients.

Demand for what agencies sell keeps widening. The national count of information media and telecommunications businesses rose 4.0 per cent in 2025 to 2026 and professional, scientific and technical services rose 3.6 per cent, while Victoria gained a net 19,581 actively trading businesses (Source: ABS, Counts of Australian Businesses, July 2022 to June 2026, released 18 August 2026). New businesses need brands, websites and campaigns, which keeps the pool of potential clients, and of potential acquirers, growing.

4.0%
increase in information media and telecommunications businesses across Australia, 2025 to 2026
Source: ABS, Counts of Australian Businesses, July 2022 to June 2026, released 18 August 2026
19,581
actively trading businesses added in Victoria during 2025 to 2026, after closures
Source: ABS, Counts of Australian Businesses, July 2022 to June 2026, released 18 August 2026
Net revenue
is the base an agency is measured on, never billings, because media and production spend only passes through

Inside an agency valuation report

The report sets out the purpose, the standard of value, the valuation date and the records relied on, with any limits on them stated openly. It then lists every approach considered, the method chosen under each and each normalisation adjustment with its reason, and draws the results into a range with the weighting explained in prose.

Agencies most often reach a courtroom when founders fall out. A shareholder dispute in the Supreme Court of Victoria, or a property settlement in the Federal Circuit and Family Court at Melbourne or Dandenong, puts the valuation in front of an opposing expert, and the questions will be why net revenue, the rate and the comparable range were treated as they were. We prepare reports under APESB, APES 225 Valuation Services, and the certified valuer who signs one is ready to explain every step of it.

Before you engage anyone

Ask the valuer which judgement in their draft is most open to challenge and how they would defend it. If the answer is vague, so is the report.

Picking the right report for an agency

An Indicative valuation gives a founder a grounded figure to set against a consolidator's term sheet or to price a stake for senior staff. It is for internal decision-making and is not written for third party reliance. A Summary report suits a sale, a merger between agencies or an employee equity plan. A Detailed report belongs in a family law matter, a dispute between shareholders, or anywhere an opposing expert will pull the work apart.

Start with who will read the figure. A court, the ATO, a lender or another expert each expects to see more of the reasoning, and the report should be built for that reader.

Indicative

For internal decision-making. Useful for testing an offer, setting an expectation before a negotiation, or deciding whether to go to market. It is not written for third party reliance.

Summary

Sets out the approaches applied, the normalisation adjustments made and the reasoning behind the conclusion. The usual choice for a sale, an ownership change or a finance application.

Detailed

Applies and reconciles all relevant approaches in full. The level required where a court, the ATO, a lender or another expert will review the opinion.

Compare the three report types

Questions Melbourne agency owners ask

On its maintainable earnings, capitalised at a rate that reflects how likely those earnings are to continue under a new owner. Before that, billings are reduced to net revenue and the founders' pay is reset to Melbourne market salaries. The biggest influences on the rate are usually how concentrated the clients are, how much revenue is on retainer, and how closely clients are tied to a founder.
Net revenue, and then on the profit it produces. Billings include media buys and production costs that pass through to suppliers, so they inflate the size of the business without adding to what it earns. A valuation built on billings overstates the agency, and any buyer doing due diligence will strip them out.
Often far enough to reshape the deal. If one or two clients provide most of the net revenue, the chance that earnings fall away after a sale is high, and the capitalisation rate rises with it. Buyers frequently answer that risk by moving more of the price into an earn-out, so the founder keeps carrying it.
Usually. A retainer renews without a new pitch, so it can be forecast with more confidence and attracts a lower risk loading. Project income has to be won again each time. We assess the two streams separately, looking at how long retainers have actually run and how often project clients come back, rather than treating every dollar of revenue alike.
As a risk-sharing device, not a price. We first establish what the agency is worth on its own numbers. That figure then lets you judge whether deferring a large part of the consideration, contingent on results you will no longer fully control, is fair compensation for the risk you are being asked to keep.
Not necessarily, even if the Cremorne agency reports the higher profit. One large retainer can end at a single contract review, so those earnings attract a heavier risk loading. A Collingwood studio whose fees come from many clients who return year after year may be worth as much or more, because a buyer can rely on more of its income surviving the sale.
Certified reports are delivered from seven business days once we hold the information needed. That is typically three years of financial statements, revenue by client split into retainer and project fees, founder remuneration, payroll and contractor costs, and the studio lease.

Book a Free Consultation

Talk your situation through with a certified valuer before you commit to anything, at no cost.

Andrew Mackson
Andrew Mackson, CFA, ABV, CBV
Managing Partner · 15+ years
Book a Free Consultation →

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